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Red117
353860.2
1065420.6
357263.9
Blue93
477637.3
781013.4
515240.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171835010015020011793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
43Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
62Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
117Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.7
65.364.6
Auto19.6
Teleop35.2
End9.1
red by 23.3
40.60.1
39.839.8
Auto5.5
Teleop27.2
End7.9
Second
60.20.7
61.660.9
Auto20.2
Teleop37.1
End2.9
red by 22.8
37.30.1
36.536.6
Auto10.0
Teleop22.1
End5.2
Third
20.60.7
22.021.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 7.1
7810
#32
13.40.1
12.612.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End2.4