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Red70
999119.9
661565.7
557727.1
Blue121
24730.1
319335.3
360464.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171425010020025070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
52Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#10
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
70Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#25
65.72.3
62.960.6
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
red by 1.4
64.30.8
60.059.3
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
Second
5577
#24
27.12.3
26.123.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 8.2
3193
#10
35.30.8
36.235.4
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
Third
9991
#29
19.93.8
9.55.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
blue by 10.2
247
#8
30.10.8
25.024.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned