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Red105
1034928.4
214556.8
506662.1
Blue108
828060.4
516642.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150106050200250105108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
64Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
105Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#15
62.11.8
57.455.6
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
red by 1.7
60.40.6
52.453.0
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
2145
#11
56.81.8
51.049.3
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
red by 14.1
5166
#14
42.70.6
45.846.5
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Third
28.41.8
23.021.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
red by 22.3
6.10.6
0.20.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned