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Qual 112025 Cullens Cancer Clash (C3)
Red168
170181.2
999722.2
716664.1
Blue137
54840.5
999814.4
353853.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17689050150200250300168137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
47Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#20
51Coral points71
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
24Processor points18
32Net points12
56Algae points30
107Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#12
6L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
168Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#1
81.20.8
78.3→79.1
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
red by 28.2
3538
#16
53.00.4
51.2→50.8
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
Second
7166
#7
64.10.8
66.4→67.2
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
red by 23.6
548
#20
40.52.7
37.5→40.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
Third
9997
#22
22.21.3
11.4→12.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 7.8
9998
#35
14.44.5
10.9→15.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed