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Red81
364137.2
125029.3
999525.2
Blue58
5144.1
564128.0
999119.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions529901502008158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+23Teleop
+9Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
55Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
20Foul points6
81Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#19
37.20.5
24.924.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
blue by 6.9
51
#30
44.12.5
48.245.8
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
1250
#32
29.30.5
30.029.5
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
red by 1.3
5641
#31
28.02.5
27.324.8
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Third
9995
#18
25.20.8
13.612.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
red by 5.2
9991
#29
19.94.1
13.69.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned