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Red156
365662.2
608151.1
319335.3
Blue111
506662.1
24730.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15678050100200250156111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+31Endgame
+45Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
87Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
20Foul points6
156Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.1
51.451.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
red by 0.1
5066
#15
62.11.7
55.757.4
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Second
51.10.1
44.344.4
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
red by 21.0
247
#8
30.11.7
23.325.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
Third
3193
#10
35.30.1
36.136.2
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
red by 29.2
6.11.7
-1.50.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed