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Red38
872828.1
509011.7
309833.4
Blue203
654860.4
402880.0
661565.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54244010015020030035040038203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+143
Endgame+157
Fouls+165
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +119
5Coral scored#19
19Coral points70
0Processor algae#4
1Net algae#12
0Processor points24
4Net points48
4Algae points72
23Total teleop142
Reef
2L4#10
2L3#8
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +165
0Foul points8
38Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#26
33.42.2
27.325.1
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
blue by 46.6
80.00.7
83.282.5
Auto17.3
Teleop51.5
End11.3
Second
8728
#23
28.12.2
25.723.5
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
blue by 37.6
6615
#25
65.70.7
63.662.9
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Third
5090
#34
11.72.2
12.610.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 48.7
60.40.7
52.251.5
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned