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Red152
721142.5
103841.4
5144.1
Blue145
364137.2
716664.1
837340.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127154050100200250152145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
23Coral scored#24
82Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
102Total teleop122
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#10
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#34
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
8Foul points0
152Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#30
44.11.0
46.047.0
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
blue by 20.0
64.10.2
68.668.4
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
Second
7211
#12
42.51.0
40.741.7
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
red by 1.7
8373
#21
40.80.2
42.041.8
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
Third
1038
#17
41.41.0
31.232.2
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
red by 4.2
3641
#19
37.20.2
25.725.5
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed