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Qual 202025 Cullens Cancer Clash (C3)
Red150
353853.0
506662.1
45127.0
Blue129
309833.4
360464.3
564128.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612180100160180200150129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+33Teleop
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
120Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points0
150Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#15
62.10.7
55.6→56.3
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
blue by 2.2
3604
#2
64.30.8
59.3→60.0
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
Second
3538
#16
53.01.6
48.5→46.9
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
red by 19.5
3098
#26
33.40.8
23.5→24.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
Third
451
#33
27.00.7
24.3→25.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
blue by 1.0
5641
#31
28.00.8
23.2→24.0
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned