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Red95
999525.2
661565.7
Blue159
214556.8
516642.7
170181.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7321205010015025030035040095159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +35
9Leave9
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points38
12Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#14
63Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
77Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#11
7L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
2Foul points14
95Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#25
65.70.5
60.661.1
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
blue by 15.5
81.22.5
78.776.3
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
Second
9995
#18
25.20.8
21.622.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 31.6
2145
#11
56.82.5
54.652.1
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
Third
6.10.5
0.81.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 36.6
5166
#14
42.72.5
45.943.5
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
2%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned