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Red200
353853.0
608151.1
828060.4
Blue106
721142.5
999119.9
214556.8
65%Model gave it35%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153110050200250300350200106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+74Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points44
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +67
25Coral scored#9
91Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
123Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#6
12L3#6
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
200Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.43.8
48.552.4
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 3.6
2145
#11
56.80.2
51.251.0
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
Second
3538
#16
53.03.8
47.451.2
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
red by 10.5
7211
#12
42.50.2
38.438.2
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Third
51.13.8
40.544.3
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
red by 31.2
9991
#29
19.90.3
13.913.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed