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Red104
999814.4
661565.7
125029.3
Blue138
716664.1
564128.0
608151.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99159050200250104138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +41
12Coral scored#21
43Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
61Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
14Foul points0
104Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#25
65.71.4
61.159.7
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
red by 1.6
64.10.6
68.467.7
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
Second
1250
#32
29.31.4
27.426.0
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
blue by 21.8
51.10.6
44.243.5
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
Third
9998
#35
14.42.4
11.89.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.7
blue by 13.7
5641
#31
28.00.6
24.023.3
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned