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Red175
170181.2
365662.2
557727.1
Blue99
54840.5
999722.2
45127.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1878105010015025030017599

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+56Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points26
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points43
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#5
18Processor points6
32Net points20
50Algae points26
114Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
175Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.8
76.377.1
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
red by 40.7
548
#20
40.50.5
40.641.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
Second
62.20.8
52.753.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
red by 35.2
451
#33
27.00.5
25.025.5
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
Third
5577
#24
27.10.8
25.226.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 4.9
9997
#22
22.20.9
17.118.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed