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Red188
999525.2
402880.0
506662.1
Blue80
516642.7
5144.1
872828.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1791165010015020025030018880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+98Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +70
28Coral scored#11
102Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
130Total teleop60
Reef
16L4#4
5L3#4
8L2#2
7L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
188Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.01.8
81.883.7
Auto17.3
Teleop51.5
End11.3
red by 35.9
51
#30
44.12.2
47.044.8
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Second
5066
#15
62.11.8
56.358.2
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
red by 19.4
5166
#14
42.72.2
43.541.2
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Third
9995
#18
25.23.0
22.525.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 2.9
8728
#23
28.12.2
23.221.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsMissed