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Red175
214556.8
654860.4
309833.4
Blue90
103841.4
999119.9
319335.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1587805010020025030017590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+79Teleop
+79Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
24Coral scored#13
86Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
116Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#5
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
6Foul points0
175Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.7
51.853.5
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
red by 19.0
1038
#17
41.40.2
32.231.9
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
Second
2145
#11
56.81.7
52.153.8
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
red by 21.5
3193
#10
35.30.2
35.735.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
Third
3098
#26
33.41.7
24.326.0
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
red by 13.5
9991
#29
19.90.4
9.08.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsEarned