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Red91
509011.7
364137.2
1034928.4
Blue153
998642.8
837340.8
24730.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6310905015020091153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+42
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +29
3Leave3
2Coral scored#8
12Coral points41
15Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points75
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
76Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
91Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#19
37.21.2
25.526.7
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
blue by 5.6
9986
#13
42.83.8
32.936.7
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
Second
28.41.2
22.924.1
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
blue by 12.4
8373
#21
40.82.3
41.844.2
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
Third
5090
#34
11.71.2
10.611.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 18.4
247
#8
30.12.3
23.926.2
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned