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Red170
564128.0
353853.0
872828.1
Blue162
828060.4
45127.0
661565.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85169050100150200250170162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+6Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +27
30Coral scored#25
108Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
6Processor points12
32Net points16
38Algae points28
146Total teleop119
Reef
12L4#13
6L3#7
7L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
170Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#16
53.01.2
46.044.8
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
blue by 12.7
6615
#25
65.70.5
59.760.2
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
8728
#23
28.14.2
21.025.1
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
blue by 32.3
60.40.5
52.352.8
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Third
5641
#31
28.04.2
23.327.5
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
red by 1.0
451
#33
27.00.5
25.526.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed