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Red158
103841.4
214556.8
54840.5
Blue140
360464.3
5144.1
999722.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013480100120160180200158140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+32Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
115Total teleop82
Reef
9L4#10
6L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points14
158Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#11
56.81.3
53.855.1
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
blue by 7.5
64.30.6
60.960.3
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
Second
1038
#17
41.41.3
31.933.3
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
blue by 2.7
51
#30
44.10.6
44.844.2
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Third
548
#20
40.51.3
41.142.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
red by 18.3
9997
#22
22.21.0
18.017.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned