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Red97
998642.8
125029.3
999119.9
Blue106
557727.1
309833.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7259010015020097106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
61Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points14
97Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9986
#13
42.82.3
36.739.0
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
red by 9.4
3098
#26
33.42.1
26.028.1
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
Second
1250
#32
29.31.4
26.027.3
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
red by 2.2
5577
#24
27.12.1
26.028.1
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
9991
#29
19.92.3
8.610.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
red by 13.8
6.12.1
2.14.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned