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Red120
654860.4
999525.2
828060.4
Blue119
365662.2
999814.4
364137.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310450200250120119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+11Teleop
+19Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
47Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
49Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points18
120Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.8
53.552.7
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
blue by 1.8
62.20.8
53.554.3
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
Second
60.40.8
52.852.1
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 23.2
3641
#19
37.20.8
26.727.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Third
9995
#18
25.21.3
25.524.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
red by 10.8
9998
#35
14.41.3
9.410.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned