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Red53
509011.7
721142.5
506662.1
Blue191
1034928.4
608151.1
170181.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12417405010015020025030053191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+88
Endgame+88
Fouls+138
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
36Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +84
3Coral scored#20
9Coral points73
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
13Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#11
2L3#8
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +138
0Foul points50
53Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#15
62.14.3
58.253.9
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
blue by 19.1
81.20.8
77.176.2
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
Second
7211
#12
42.54.3
41.637.3
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
blue by 8.6
51.10.8
43.542.7
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
Third
5090
#34
11.74.3
11.87.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 16.7
28.40.8
24.123.2
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned