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Red62
557727.1
54840.5
716664.1
Blue84
319335.3
214556.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157970502002503006284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
14Foul points6
62Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.15.9
66.460.4
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
red by 7.3
2145
#11
56.81.0
55.154.1
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
Second
548
#20
40.55.9
42.436.5
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
red by 5.2
3193
#10
35.31.0
34.333.3
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
Third
5577
#24
27.15.9
28.122.2
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 21.0
6.11.0
4.23.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed