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Red56
564128.0
721142.5
125029.3
Blue133
516642.7
509011.7
365662.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10012102004006008001,0001,20056133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+63
Endgame+75
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave3
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points29
13Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +44
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points45
0Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
0Processor points18
16Net points20
16Algae points38
39Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points2
56Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#12
42.52.6
37.334.7
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
blue by 19.8
62.21.7
55.757.3
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
Second
1250
#32
29.32.6
27.324.8
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
blue by 13.4
5166
#14
42.71.7
40.141.7
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Third
5641
#31
28.02.6
27.524.9
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
red by 16.3
5090
#34
11.71.7
7.59.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned