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Red124
828060.4
1034928.4
309833.4
Blue217
45127.0
170181.2
360464.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117206050100150250300124217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+85
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points24
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +78
18Coral scored#32
64Coral points116
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
6Processor points24
12Net points20
18Algae points44
82Total teleop160
Reef
6L4#10
9L3#15
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
27Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
124Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.2
52.151.9
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
blue by 20.8
81.22.2
76.278.4
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
Second
3098
#26
33.40.2
28.128.0
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
blue by 30.9
64.32.2
60.362.5
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
Third
28.40.2
23.223.0
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
red by 1.4
451
#33
27.02.2
26.028.2
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned