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Red54
837340.8
45127.0
999119.9
Blue120
125029.3
716664.1
516642.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95154020030040054120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+56
Endgame+68
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +46
8Coral scored#18
27Coral points65
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
39Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
11Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
2Foul points0
54Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#21
40.82.1
42.640.5
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
blue by 23.2
64.10.5
60.460.0
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
Second
451
#33
27.02.1
28.226.1
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
blue by 15.7
5166
#14
42.70.5
41.741.3
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Third
9991
#29
19.93.3
13.29.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
blue by 9.4
1250
#32
29.30.5
24.824.3
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned