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Red130
837340.8
402880.0
999722.2
Blue156
999119.9
506662.1
828060.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16912950100150200250130156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
93Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#9
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
130Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.01.7
82.881.1
Auto17.3
Teleop51.5
End11.3
red by 17.9
5066
#15
62.11.7
55.757.5
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Second
8373
#21
40.81.7
40.538.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
blue by 19.6
60.41.7
53.255.0
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Third
9997
#22
22.22.4
20.317.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 2.3
9991
#29
19.92.5
9.912.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned