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Red141
716664.1
365662.2
Blue103
564128.0
364137.2
557727.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13973050100150200141103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +37
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
105Total teleop68
Reef
11L4#7
10L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
141Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.11.2
60.061.2
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
red by 26.9
3641
#19
37.21.2
27.829.1
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Second
62.21.2
57.358.5
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
red by 34.2
5641
#31
28.01.2
24.525.7
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
Third
6.11.2
2.84.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 21.0
5577
#24
27.11.2
23.524.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed