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Red125
103841.4
24730.1
309833.4
Blue84
509011.7
353853.0
999525.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038105015020025012584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
6Processor points12
24Net points8
30Algae points20
83Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
125Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#17
41.42.4
32.434.7
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
blue by 11.6
3538
#16
53.00.2
46.646.8
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
Second
3098
#26
33.42.4
29.231.6
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
red by 8.3
9995
#18
25.20.3
23.223.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Third
247
#8
30.12.4
25.027.3
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
red by 18.4
5090
#34
11.70.2
9.19.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed