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Red173
364137.2
999119.9
170181.2
Blue118
557727.1
506662.1
999814.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142104050200173118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points57
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
113Total teleop81
Reef
8L4#10
6L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
173Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.23.1
79.882.8
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
red by 19.1
5066
#15
62.11.8
57.559.2
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Second
3641
#19
37.23.1
29.132.1
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
red by 10.1
5577
#24
27.11.8
24.726.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
9991
#29
19.94.1
12.416.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
red by 5.6
9998
#35
14.42.6
9.111.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed