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Red146
721142.5
828060.4
24730.1
Blue137
661565.7
5144.1
716664.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126196050100150250300146137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+11
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +19
3Leave3
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
15Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +8
18Coral scored#21
63Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
12Processor points6
32Net points16
44Algae points22
107Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#7
5L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
146Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.1
55.056.0
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
blue by 5.3
6615
#25
65.72.7
61.959.2
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
7211
#12
42.51.1
36.337.4
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
blue by 21.6
64.12.7
61.258.5
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
Third
247
#8
30.11.1
27.328.4
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
blue by 13.9
51
#30
44.12.7
43.140.4
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed