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Red152
360464.3
872828.1
54840.5
Blue132
509011.7
998642.8
608151.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15381050100200250300152132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
89Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points12
152Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.8
63.764.5
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
red by 13.2
51.11.3
43.945.2
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
Second
548
#20
40.50.8
38.138.8
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
blue by 2.3
9986
#13
42.81.9
35.637.5
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
Third
8728
#23
28.10.8
27.528.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
red by 16.4
5090
#34
11.71.3
9.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned