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Red74
837340.8
1034928.4
Blue128
24730.1
54840.5
654860.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6615005010020025030074128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +8
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points18
74Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#21
40.80.3
38.939.1
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
blue by 19.6
60.40.8
54.253.4
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
Second
28.40.3
24.324.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End0.1
blue by 12.1
548
#20
40.50.8
38.838.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
Third
6.10.3
4.04.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
blue by 24.0
247
#8
30.10.8
28.427.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned