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Red123
608151.1
999525.2
516642.7
Blue77
999722.2
661565.7
509011.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010305015020025012377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+34Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points26
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +41
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points33
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
88Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
123Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.9
45.246.1
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
blue by 14.6
6615
#25
65.70.7
59.258.5
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
Second
5166
#14
42.70.9
41.342.2
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
red by 20.5
9997
#22
22.21.0
17.917.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Third
9995
#18
25.21.2
23.124.3
Auto4.3
Teleop18.5
End2.1
red by 13.5
5090
#34
11.70.7
10.69.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed