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Red81
45127.0
872828.1
998642.8
Blue111
309833.4
721142.5
319335.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812605015020025030035081111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
45Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
81Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9986
#13
42.81.4
37.536.1
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
red by 0.3
7211
#12
42.50.3
37.437.1
Auto7.7
Teleop26.4
End8.3
Second
8728
#23
28.11.1
28.327.2
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
blue by 7.3
3193
#10
35.30.3
34.434.1
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
Third
451
#33
27.01.1
26.125.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.0
End0.6
blue by 6.4
3098
#26
33.40.3
31.631.3
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned