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Red129
309833.4
125029.3
54840.5
Blue136
214556.8
364137.2
872828.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102127050150200250129136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +13
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
116Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#12
8L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points2
129Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#20
40.52.1
38.140.2
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
blue by 16.3
2145
#11
56.81.1
54.555.7
Auto19.3
Teleop32.0
End5.5
Second
3098
#26
33.42.1
31.333.4
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End3.0
blue by 3.8
3641
#19
37.21.1
32.133.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
Third
1250
#32
29.32.1
25.627.7
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
red by 1.3
8728
#23
28.11.1
27.228.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed