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Red95
319335.3
509011.7
5144.1
Blue115
999119.9
353853.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9868020030040050060070080095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
68Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#3
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
95Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#30
44.10.3
40.440.7
Auto8.4
Teleop27.3
End8.4
blue by 8.9
3538
#16
53.03.1
46.849.9
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
Second
3193
#10
35.30.3
34.134.4
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4
red by 15.4
9991
#29
19.93.4
16.519.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End3.9
Third
5090
#34
11.70.3
9.910.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 5.6
6.12.8
4.37.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed