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Red167
661565.7
998642.8
564128.0
Blue182
506662.1
837340.8
170181.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122206050100150250300350167182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
34Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
20Coral scored#25
73Coral points91
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
24Processor points24
20Net points16
44Algae points40
117Total teleop131
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#9
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#39
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
167Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#25
65.72.7
58.561.2
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End3.0
blue by 15.5
81.20.4
81.981.5
Auto20.7
Teleop51.8
End8.7
Second
9986
#13
42.83.0
36.940.0
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
blue by 19.3
5066
#15
62.10.4
58.858.4
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Third
5641
#31
28.02.7
25.328.0
Auto2.6
Teleop25.0
End0.5
blue by 12.8
8373
#21
40.80.4
41.440.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned