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Red212
716664.1
103841.4
828060.4
Blue80
125029.3
608151.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1787805010015020025021280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+120Teleop
+132Endgame
+132Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +99
29Coral scored#11
103Coral points40
6Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
36Processor points12
20Net points8
56Algae points20
159Total teleop60
Reef
11L4#6
13L3#3
9L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +132
0Foul points0
212Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.13.4
58.161.5
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
red by 13.0
51.11.0
48.447.4
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3
Second
60.43.4
54.457.8
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 31.1
1250
#32
29.31.0
27.726.8
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2
Third
1038
#17
41.43.4
36.740.2
Auto3.4
Teleop33.9
End4.1
red by 35.3
6.11.0
7.16.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed