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Red140
360464.3
557727.1
353853.0
Blue108
54840.5
319335.3
516642.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158134100200140108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points58
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
111Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#6
10L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
140Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.1
64.063.9
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
red by 21.6
5166
#14
42.70.4
44.644.2
Auto9.3
Teleop26.7
End6.7
Second
3538
#16
53.00.1
52.752.6
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
red by 12.5
548
#20
40.50.4
42.342.0
Auto9.3
Teleop28.1
End3.1
Third
5577
#24
27.10.1
26.826.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 8.2
3193
#10
35.30.4
37.236.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.7
End1.4