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Red188
364137.2
998642.8
365662.2
Blue200
654860.4
608151.1
506662.1
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13218150100150200250300188200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#12
41Coral points58
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +8
22Coral scored#27
80Coral points96
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
24Processor points12
16Net points20
40Algae points32
120Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#15
11L3#13
4L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#46
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
188Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.21.2
59.460.6
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.2
red by 0.1
5066
#15
62.10.8
58.459.2
Auto18.1
Teleop44.1
End-0.0
Second
9986
#13
42.81.2
40.041.2
Auto18.6
Teleop16.9
End7.1
blue by 17.6
60.40.8
56.757.5
Auto18.9
Teleop37.5
End4.0
Third
3641
#19
37.21.2
34.335.6
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End2.5
blue by 13.9
51.10.8
47.448.2
Auto8.3
Teleop34.5
End8.3