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Red155
360464.3
557727.1
353853.0
Blue190
716664.1
125029.3
828060.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159159120140180200155190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+31
Endgame+39
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points44
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#10
18Processor points12
24Net points40
42Algae points52
112Total teleop119
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#11
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +35
4Foul points0
155Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.30.2
63.964.1
Auto14.1
Teleop41.1
End9.1
red by 0.2
64.10.9
62.563.4
Auto14.6
Teleop44.1
End5.2
Second
3538
#16
53.00.2
52.652.7
Auto15.0
Teleop38.3
End-0.3
blue by 7.4
60.40.9
58.859.8
Auto17.8
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Third
5577
#24
27.10.2
26.726.9
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 2.2
1250
#32
29.30.9
27.828.7
Auto3.0
Teleop25.2
End1.2