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Red51
956623.9
335734.2
1042120.2
Blue176
191870.5
924578.2
910626.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1352225010020025030035040051176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+109
Endgame+117
Fouls+125
AutonomousBlue +19
3Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
3Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +90
8Coral scored#30
28Coral points108
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop132
Reef
4L4#11
2L3#10
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#7
11Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +125
0Foul points8
51Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#11
34.25.2
52.447.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
blue by 43.9
78.21.8
71.669.8
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
Second
23.95.2
31.626.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
blue by 46.6
70.51.8
69.968.2
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Third
20.25.2
23.618.4
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 6.1
26.31.8
29.027.2
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned