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Red71
910626.3
442240.7
1042120.2
Blue186
191870.5
496741.5
50336.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11121605015025030035040071186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+93
Endgame+103
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points31
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +69
9Coral scored#20
32Coral points71
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
42Total teleop111
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points12
71Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.73.1
57.254.2
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End8.2
blue by 29.8
70.51.2
68.267.0
Auto11.8
Teleop48.4
End10.3
Second
26.33.1
27.224.1
Auto1.4
Teleop21.3
End3.6
blue by 15.2
4967
#10
41.51.2
59.358.1
Auto10.8
Teleop25.9
End4.8
Third
20.23.1
18.415.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.5
blue by 16.5
503
#5
36.81.2
50.148.9
Auto8.1
Teleop19.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned