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Red140
924578.2
387535.1
335734.2
Blue172
3377.2
956623.9
400340.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1911800100300400140172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
6Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +11
25Coral scored#25
90Coral points89
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
18Processor points30
20Net points20
38Algae points50
128Total teleop139
Reef
7L4#8
9L3#11
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
140Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.23.1
69.866.7
Auto16.4
Teleop53.0
End8.7
red by 1.0
33
#2
77.20.4
72.572.0
Auto15.9
Teleop54.4
End6.9
Second
35.13.1
39.736.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End5.2
blue by 5.5
40.60.4
45.344.9
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End4.6
Third
3357
#11
34.23.1
47.244.1
Auto10.3
Teleop22.7
End1.3
red by 10.3
23.90.4
26.426.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed