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Red198
546084.9
3380.0
432729.3
Blue160
365659.0
719742.8
477657.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208165100150250300198160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +40
24Coral scored#12
87Coral points43
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
18Processor points18
20Net points24
38Algae points42
125Total teleop85
Reef
15L4#9
7L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points12
198Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.1
84.484.5
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 25.9
59.00.3
59.559.2
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
33
#2
80.00.1
79.679.7
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 22.5
57.50.3
58.057.7
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Third
4327
#26
29.30.1
28.828.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 13.5
7197
#19
42.80.3
43.343.0
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3