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Red227
546084.9
3380.0
432729.3
Blue149
365659.0
719742.8
477657.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208164100150250300227149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +53
26Coral scored#10
92Coral points37
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
132Total teleop79
Reef
14L4#9
10L3#5
7L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +78
18Foul points0
227Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.90.4
84.584.9
Auto22.0
Teleop54.0
End9.0
red by 25.9
59.00.2
59.259.0
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
33
#2
80.00.4
79.780.0
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 22.5
57.50.2
57.757.5
Auto11.6
Teleop35.4
End10.4
Third
4327
#26
29.30.4
28.929.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.7
End3.4
blue by 13.5
7197
#19
42.80.2
43.042.8
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End1.3