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Red109
30262.5
103833.0
651735.4
Blue90
872827.5
5146.0
353856.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154177010030040050010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+21Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#12
35Coral points43
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
24Processor points12
12Net points12
36Algae points24
71Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
109Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#8
62.52.5
67.865.2
Auto16.9
Teleop42.3
End3.3
red by 5.9
3538
#25
56.64.7
72.067.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.3
End3.2
Second
6517
#10
35.42.5
40.838.2
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
blue by 10.6
51
#22
46.04.7
50.045.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.4
End9.7
Third
33.02.5
32.429.9
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End1.2
red by 5.5
8728
#27
27.54.7
38.033.3
Auto6.3
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned