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Red143
721154.0
3380.0
99918.5
Blue86
159623.2
365659.0
842427.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191149010030040014386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
87Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
143Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
80.00.4
73.673.2
Auto19.5
Teleop50.3
End10.3
red by 21.0
59.02.6
65.362.8
Auto11.2
Teleop39.4
End8.5
Second
7211
#17
54.00.4
64.764.3
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End10.3
red by 26.7
8424
#31
27.32.6
33.731.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.9
End2.5
Third
9991
#32
8.50.6
10.29.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.5
blue by 14.7
1596
#30
23.22.6
25.723.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed