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Red156
2772.8
365546.6
20143.9
Blue90
335730.5
570410.6
607830.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2076805010015025030015690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+46Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
19Coral scored#17
68Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
100Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
156Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
72.81.8
77.876.0
Auto16.9
Teleop46.2
End9.7
red by 42.3
3357
#18
30.50.1
34.134.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.3
End1.8
Second
3655
#16
46.61.8
51.750.0
Auto9.0
Teleop26.0
End11.5
red by 16.3
6078
#20
30.30.1
29.529.5
Auto2.2
Teleop23.3
End4.8
Third
201
#11
43.91.8
38.436.6
Auto11.7
Teleop27.0
End5.3
red by 33.3
5704
#24
10.60.1
13.313.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
89%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed