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Red128
931250.4
22657.4
651735.4
Blue24
317546.6
438410.4
520513.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18111405015020025030012824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+70Teleop
+104Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points4
37Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +43
10Coral scored#2
35Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
55Total teleop12
Reef
8L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#4
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +104
0Foul points0
128Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
57.41.7
66.164.4
Auto13.2
Teleop35.2
End9.0
red by 10.8
3175
#21
46.65.2
65.460.3
Auto9.3
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
50.41.7
44.943.2
Auto14.6
Teleop30.8
End5.0
red by 36.5
5205
#33
13.95.2
20.014.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
6517
#10
35.41.7
42.540.8
Auto7.2
Teleop20.8
End7.3
red by 25.0
4384
#29
10.45.2
16.211.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed